Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.025996 0.028150 0.030309 0.032630 0.035051 0.037499 0.040158
2025-08-03 0.022417 0.025884 0.029481 0.033474 0.037766 0.042224 0.047190
2025-08-10 0.019433 0.023631 0.028109 0.033201 0.038795 0.044717 0.051428
2025-08-17 0.017101 0.021786 0.026907 0.032850 0.039496 0.046641 0.054848
2025-08-24 0.015297 0.020346 0.025989 0.032658 0.040231 0.048479 0.058059
2025-08-31 0.013709 0.019019 0.025079 0.032364 0.040754 0.049997 0.060840
2025-09-07 0.012437 0.017962 0.024396 0.032252 0.041413 0.051609 0.063671
2025-09-14 0.011080 0.016707 0.023399 0.031699 0.041503 0.052525 0.065673
2025-09-21 0.009864 0.015543 0.022440 0.031130 0.041519 0.053310 0.067487
2025-09-28 0.008657 0.014309 0.021330 0.030320 0.041200 0.053668 0.068773
2025-10-05 0.008303 0.014163 0.021549 0.031105 0.042760 0.056192 0.072544
2025-10-12 0.007775 0.013748 0.021402 0.031417 0.043735 0.058023 0.075504
2025-10-19 0.007038 0.013053 0.020928 0.031382 0.044377 0.059568 0.078269
2025-10-26 0.006656 0.012843 0.021088 0.032159 0.046037 0.062359 0.082549
2025-11-02 0.005914 0.012060 0.020450 0.031890 0.046389 0.063577 0.084969
2025-11-09 0.005219 0.011289 0.019782 0.031547 0.046619 0.064626 0.087170
2025-11-16 0.004644 0.010649 0.019258 0.031360 0.047019 0.065862 0.089580
2025-11-23 0.004094 0.009997 0.018681 0.031073 0.047271 0.066900 0.091740
2025-11-30 0.003647 0.009473 0.018254 0.030963 0.047729 0.068177 0.094177
2025-12-07 0.003127 0.008770 0.017532 0.030424 0.047614 0.068732 0.095729
2025-12-14 0.002656 0.008100 0.016820 0.029868 0.047453 0.069213 0.097177
2025-12-21 0.002184 0.007363 0.015963 0.029077 0.046958 0.069257 0.098077
2025-12-28 0.002089 0.007349 0.016218 0.029843 0.048509 0.071858 0.102102